Each sport has its own numbers. We show which ones matter and how to read the odds.
How much you stake matters as much as what you pick. A few simple rules keep betting under control.
The same approach — data plus context — applied to the specifics of each sport.
Form, expected goals, lineups and tactical matchups. Draws make football markets three-way, which changes how odds are priced.
Hold and break percentages, surface records and scheduling — a player who went five sets yesterday is not the same player today.
Pace, offensive and defensive rating and rest days. Back-to-back games and travel have a measurable effect on results.
Expected goals for and against, special teams and goaltender form. Low scores make every goal count.
Decimal, fractional or American — the format changes, the meaning does not. Here is how to convert between them.
| Format | Example | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Decimal | 3.00 | 10 staked returns 30 in total |
| Fractional | 2/1 | Win 2 for every 1 staked |
| American | +200 | Win 200 for every 100 staked |
| Implied probability | 33.3% | 1 ÷ 3.00 = 33.3% |
P = 1 ÷ decimal oddsBookmaker margin — example two-way market (e.g. tennis or a moneyline)1 ÷ 1.44 + 1 ÷ 2.75 = 105.8%Everything above 100% is the margin: here 5.8%. A bet has value only when your own estimate of the probability is higher than the implied probability.A repeatable process is what separates analysis from guesswork.
Results, advanced statistics and schedules for both sides.
Injuries, suspensions, rest and confirmed lineups.
Surface, venue, travel, weather and motivation.
Turn the evidence into our own view of each outcome.
See where our view differs from the bookmaker odds.
Publish the reasoning, not just a pick.
Know exactly what a market settles on before you choose it.
| Market | Sport | How it works |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Basketball, hockey, tennis | Pick the winner. In hockey, check whether overtime is included. |
| Puck line | Ice hockey | A fixed handicap of 1.5 goals. |
| Set betting | Tennis | Predict the exact score in sets, e.g. 2–0 or 2–1. |
| Point spread / handicap | Basketball, football | One side gets a virtual head start to balance the match. |
| Totals (over / under) | All sports | Whether the combined score is above or below a line. |
| 1X2 | Football | Home win, draw or away win in 90 minutes. |
A short list of the numbers we trust most, and why.
| Metric | Sport | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | Basketball | Possessions per game — the main driver of total points. |
| Surface record | Tennis | Clay, grass and hard courts reward very different styles. |
| Offensive / defensive rating | Basketball | Points scored and allowed per 100 possessions. |
| Save percentage | Ice hockey | The share of shots a goaltender stops. |
| Power play % | Ice hockey | How often a team scores with a man advantage. |
| Hold / break % | Tennis | How often a player wins service games and breaks the opponent. |
Quick answers to common questions.
No. We are not a bookmaker. This website publishes analysis and educational material for information only.
A handicap that gives the underdog a virtual head start. The favourite must win by more than the spread.
Teams on the second night of a back-to-back score and defend measurably worse, especially after travel.
No. Most bettors lose over time. Treat betting as paid entertainment and only stake money you can afford to lose.
A bet on who wins the game. In ice hockey and basketball overtime is usually included — always check the rules.
Gambling should only ever be entertainment, never a way to make money. You must be 18 or over. If you feel you are losing control, independent support is free and confidential: